I'm on a roll. Fresh from tipping Dawid Malan as Middlesex's top bat in yesterday's T20 to my friend Dec and his mates, I bring you a couple of bets for the Trent Bridge Test.
Horses for courses is a decent tack to take and, in Jimmy Anderson, we have the perfect horse for the perfect course. He loves playing in Nottingham and takes his Test wickets there at a shade over 19 a-piece. There's likely to be a little cloud around this morning so if England win the toss, there's even more chance the Burnley Express could feast heartily on the South African batters. I see no reason not to back him at around 3/1 (you might get 7/2 if you sniff around) to be England's top bowler in the first innings.
Quinton de Kock played a scintillating little knock in the first innings at Lord's, hitting ten fours in his 37-ball 51. He looks like a bit of value to emerge as his side's top first-innings batsman at 11/2. If Anderson and co have ripped apart the top order, it might be that de Kock can steady the ship with some much needed middle-order runs.
Finally, don't over-complicate matters. England are heavy favourites for the game and should win at a canter. Trent Bridge has been a bit of a fortress for the home side, as a record of six wins and a draw from the last seven games there proves. The 8/13 price may look skinny but it really isn't. Particularly when you consider the South African bowling attack has been shorn of the suspended Rabada (who really must learn to stop saying things out loud and brushing the shoulders of opponents as he passes by).
Happy Trent Bridge, everyone. And may the gambling gods smile on you, as opposed to laughing in your faces.
Anderson to be England's top bowler (1st innings) 5 pts 3/1
de Kock to be SA's top batsman (1st innings) 3pts 11/2
England to win the match 10pts 8/13